Posted: 09/04/2017
Read and comment on the workshop report here belowWorkshop report : In a context of globalization and of restructuration of the world order characterized notably by the end of the Western predominance, states and institutions will be increasingly questioned and confronted to global challenges that they will be unable to face alone. Institutions will be seriously tested and questioned Non-state actors will continue to rise Traditional western governance poorly adapts to information age Russia is not a threat in the long term Building bridges with China will help bringing a world balanceOver the next fifteen years, international relations will undergo a profound change in the distribution of global power, marked on the one hand by the end of the Western domination and the end of the American monopoly, inaugurated at the end of the Cold War, and, on the other hand, the emergence of new powers with global ambitions (e.g. China, India) or even regional dimension (e.g. South Africa, Indonesia), and the shift of geostrategic and geopolitical and geo- economic balances to the East (and to a lesser extent the South). It is questionable though whether these new powers will be able, willing or reluctant to undertake costly or risky international commitments and share global responsibilities, which may lead to major changes in international governance. If the U.S., Japan, and the EU are allowed to make alliances on a case-by-case basis with BRICs and especially with China; and if the U.S. remains aware of how it balances interests, both economic and political stability should be maintained. The opposite would have detrimental consequences to all parties. The Western political structures will be increasingly challenged and loose relevance. A coherent, multinational, multiagency, multidisciplinary, multi-domain approach may prove efficient in tackling world issues. The rapid pace of globalization will continue to mine national political institutions as well as national identities.States will be increasingly attacked "from above" by speculators, tax-haven lawyers, multinational companies, and libertarian activists who try to escape from the grip of states or to mitigate their power; and "from below", by interconnected mafias and criminals of some sorts that have a well-understood interest in escaping the rules established by states. This will challenge the 'Westphalian' order and require taking into consideration the growing indirect impact of these new non-state actors on International Relations. On the other hand, globalization will compel every organization, to increase its agility and capacity. It is not unlikely that Russia"s multiple structural weaknesses will progressively erode its impact, relevance and threat. However, it would become a serious issue if Russia would fall into a failing state situation allowing non-state actors to divert the local resources towards destabilizing the region.The opinions expressed in this forum don't constitute NATO or any other organization points of view.